Thursday, 26 July 2012

Bharti Strategy 270712



I am back with a few trading ideas for the new contract. As luck would have it, it is Bharti again. Its not that I track only Bharti, but it is that the stock is poised for a break out. This is one stock that has not participated in any bull run for a long time now.

Idea Ref# - Bharti2707 

Buy Bharti Aug 2012 Fut at 302.00; and
Buy Bharti Aug 2012 320 put at 20.50

Rationale: The stock has not participated in the Nifty's 4800 to 5300 rally, but has participated in the down move. Some catch up rally will give handsome gains in the counter

Max loss from the strategy would be Rs. 2.50 per lot. (Lot size: 1000), irrespective of where the stock trades on the date of the expiry(30/08/2012). 

Profit is unlimited once the scrip crosses 322.50 on the August Futures Quote.

Stop Loss: Not required.


Regards
SVJ


Disclaimer: I have executed this strategy 

Wednesday, 25 July 2012

Goodbye July!!!

As a volatile July series comes to an end we are at the throes of a much more exiting August series.

In the series that went buy form the two strategies I had published, the total profit that got booked was Rs. 11600.

Lets hope the next series is more exiting and more profitable.

Regards
SVJ 

Friday, 20 July 2012

Cairn Strategy Exit


You can consider exiting the Cairn1712 Strategy :

Cairn Jul Fut @ 327
Cairn Jul 320 Put @ 1.30


Profit in Fut: Rs. 19500
Loss in Options : Rs. 14700
Nett Profit: Rs. 4800

Regards
SVJ




Tuesday, 3 July 2012

Bharti Strategy Exit

You can consider exiting the Bharti2712 Strategy :

Bharti Jul Fut @ 322
Bharti Jul 320 Put @ 8.80


Profit in Fut: Rs. 10000
Loss in Options : Rs. 3200
Nett Profit: Rs. 6800

Regards
SVJ



Monday, 2 July 2012

Bharti Strategy - 02/07/2012


In follow up to my earlier post, I am publishing an idea. Please consult your advisor or broker before executing any order. Please do not take any decision basis my suggestion.

Idea Ref# - Bharti2712 

Buy Bharti Jul 2012 Fut at 312.00; and
Buy Bharti Jul 2012 320 put at 12.

Rationale: The stock has not participated in the Nifty's 4800 to 5300 rally. After a long time the stock kas showed some strength and if Nifty does not correct much the stock can have a sizable up move and can out perform the index and most other heavy weights

Max loss from the strategy would be Rs. 4.00 per lot. (Lot size: 1000), irrespective of where the stock trades on the date of the expiry(26/07/2012). 

Profit is unlimited once the scrip crosses 324.00 on the July Futures Quote, which is just about 4% from here. My gut feeling is the stock can cross 340 before expiry not withstanding any major negative new flow globally.

Stop Loss: Not required.


Regards
SVJ


Disclaimer: I have executed this strategy 

Sunday, 1 July 2012

Cairn Strategy - 01/07/2012

In follow up to my earlier post, I am publishing an idea. Please consult your advisor or broker before executing any order. Please do not take any decision basis my suggestion.

Idea Ref# - Cairn1712 

Buy Cairn Jul 2012 Fut at 307.50; and
Buy Cairn Jul 2012 320 put at 16.

Rationale: The stock fell over 6% on 29/06/2012 because of the stake sale by the parent, on a day when most of the indices were up any where between 1.5% and 5%. Moreover the same day post the Indian markets close Crude was up close to 6%. The stock will have to play catch up and also will have to rally on back of crude's gain. 

Max loss from the strategy would be Rs. 3.50 per lot. (Lot size: 1000), irrespective of where the stock trades on the date of the expiry(26/07/2012). 

Profit is unlimited once the scrip crosses 323.50 on the July Futures Quote, which is just about 5% from here. My gut feeling is the stock can cross 340 before expiry not withstanding any major negative new flow globally.

Stop Loss: Not required.

Regards
SVJ


Disclaimer: I have executed this strategy 

Saturday, 30 June 2012

$$$ --- Making Money --- $$$

Hey Guys!!!

Just knowing how money works and where various anomalies in global markets exist will not make us money, but by translating that understanding into trades will. 

Financial markets across the globe and across the asset classes (Equities, Debt, Commodities and Currencies) work with one common logic - DEMAND AND SUPPLY. When most of the market participants sell a particular instrument the supply is more and when most of them buy the demand is more. When the demand is high the prices go up and when the supply is high the prices come down. 

There are infinite number of opportunities available in the markets everyday. It is just that few are more compelling than the rest. By picking up a more lucrative opportunity the probability of making money is that much higher. Having said which every opportunity is a risk return trade off. It depends on how much risk we are willing to take to make a certain amount of profit. Once we get this piece right the game is done. It is easier said than done. This precisely explains why we have millions of people across the world who have lost all their life's saving in quest for that few notches higher returns and only a handful who would have made handsome returns.

The debate between Investing and Trading is an everlasting one. Investing is a slow and steady process where one identifies good businesses and be associated with them as if your own and make money over a period when the business grows. Long term is anything more than a year and short term is about three to six months.  Trading is more opportunistic and to cash in on the very short term anomaly and get out once it runs out of steam. Here long term is a month short term is as short as few hours.

I am both a trader and an investor and I am always on the look out for opportunities existing in the markets, particularly Indian. Neither trading in overseas instruments from India is easy nor I have had the need to search for opportunities outside India. Indian markets are far from being matured to not throw up such opportunities. In fact Indian markets are so shallow that such opportunities are available by the scores at any given moment. As I said earlier I will try and identify only those trades that are very compelling and only those stocks that are available at exciting levels.

Coming to the disclaimer part, even I am one of those traders/investors yet to get in to the profits at my overall portfolio level. But definitely not among the ones that have lost all their life's savings. My quest for good opportunities is always there and will discuss a few I find very lucrative.  I am a free lancer and I do it for fun. I am not associated with any brokerage firm or any investment advisory firm. I do not have access to any research report or any recommendation that is not in the public domain. It is safe to assume that I may have my holdings in the trades and ideas suggested. Last but on the least, I urge the readers not to trade basis my advisory. You can use it just to know some opportunities existing and take your own decision basis your risk appetite. 

Most of the trades I suggest here would be hedged ones to limit the losses and investing ideas are medium to long term ones. 


Regards
SVJ